by PointGuard » Sat Feb 04, 2023 12:06 am
KXTA Radio—sports radio
This is "Rad Brad" Ventura talking sports with you on KXTA Sports Radio. The Cal Poly Mustangs begin conference play in a few days. So, with pre-conference play complete, I thought it was time to review what they’ve done this season so far.
The Mustangs were pretty successful last season, posting a 26-7 record. Their record was good enough that, even though they didn’t win the Big West Tourney, they got selected to play in the NCAA Tournament and did d surprisingly well there. With almost all their players returning, expectations were high for what they’d do this season.
But after posting a dismal 3 wins against 6 losses in pre-conference play, those hopes have been shattered. The question remains if they’re good enough to do more that finish in the middle of the pack in Big West play. So let’s look at what they’ve done thus far and what the prognosis is for the future.
As I said, everyone thought the whole roster from last season was returning. But that expectation was quickly dashed when 2 of their SG’s decided to look for greener pastures and transferred. The staff replaced them with a guard and big man who appeared would be even better than the players they lost. All the coaches needed to do was meld them into the rest of the team and get them familiar with the sets Coach Aura normally uses.
Then In October, Donald Brown, one of the Mustangs’ starters last season, missed more than 80% of the team’s pre-season practice due to undisclosed family issues. While Brown has returned and started, he’s been but a shell of what he was last year. He looks good on the outside but there’s something missing inside. Due to his ineffectiveness, Richard Lawson replaced him in the starting lineup at SF in Cal Poly’s last game.
Coach Aura has acknowledged that the team’s record looks bad, but has said the Mustangs’ pre-conference schedule has been much tougher this year than in previous seasons. He also has mentioned that 2/3 of their games have been on the road and that 5 of their 6 losses have been between 2 and 7 points, including one loss in OT...and that with a little luck some of those losses could easily have been wins. But a disturbing fact is that the team has lost 2 of their 3 home games.
Thus far the strength for the team has been upfront. Coach Aura experimented with which of his 4 primary interior men would start, but seems to have now settled on Don Seals starting at C and Curtis Pearson at PF with Derrick LaLane and Victor Collins gaining a decent amount of playing time to keep fresh legs on the court. The 4 have combined to average 33 ppg and nearly 18 rpg.
The team’s guards, though, have been highly inconsistent. All but reserve Bryan Taylor were hitting a very low percentage of their shots until the last few games when Terrell Alexander seems to have finally caught fire. But highly-experienced Aki Mosley has, except for a few games, shot very poorly, and transfer Edouard La Touche has yet to show he has much of a shooting eye. And on defense, the 4 guards have also been unable to get many steals.
And as I said, Donald Brown has been nearly invisible on the court and a real detriment to the team when he has shot the ball because it seldom has gone through the hoop. Richard Lawson, though, has played well at SF and may have won the starting role for the team.
Leading scorers for the Mustangs have been: Don Seals with 14.4 ppg, Curtis Pearson with 9.9 ppg and Terrell Alexander with 8.7 ppg.
While Cal Poly was unimpressive in pre-conference play, 9 of 11 teams in the Big West had losing records with only UC San Diego sporting a good-looking record at 7-2. But the Tritons played a particularly weak pre-conference schedule. And UC Santa Barbara, the conference’s strongest team in recent years won just 3 of 10 games. But the Gauchos played 8 very strong teams, so don't count them out.
I’m pretty sure that getting to the NCAA Tournament for a Big West team this season will absolutely require winning the conference tournament. There won’t be two Big West teams in the Big Dance. So while it’s been a rocky start for the Mustangs, Coach Aura and his team have to focus on steady improvement so that they peak at the very end of the season.
Cal Poly begins conference play by travelling to take on the Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners this Monday. The Roadrunners have a 5-4 record but played a rather easy schedule. They’re again led by SG Larry Fields who, as he did last season, is averaging 19 ppg and 6 rpg. Fields has hit 48% of his FG’s and has knocked down 43% of his 3’s. So the Mustangs need to find a way to stop him or let him do his thing and clamp down on the other 4 Roadrunners on the court.
So, here's my bottom line: If you're a Cal Poly fan, buckle your seat belts because I think it's going to be a bumpy ride as they work their way through their conference schedule over the next 2 months. I'm picking the Mustangs to finish in 3rd or 4th place in the final Big West standings, winning 12 or 13 of their 20 conference games. But if the coaching staff develops the team right and peak late in the season, I think they'll have as good a chance as anyone in the Big West tournament.
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